Officials and economists disagree on what counts. We show every honest framing — from the Pentagon's own ledger to the long-run projection to what you feel at the pump — and then the costs no budget line shows: the Americans who paid in lives, and the ~89 million eligible voters who never pulled the lever. Each card prints its source and, where it divides a total, its denominator: the voter cards use the 156.3M who showed up in 2024; the household card matches Brown University's own published figure; the burn rate is live. Each card has its own downloadable share image.
The Pentagon's three public disclosures — Day 6, Day 60, Day 74 — tell a story in three phases. The opening week ran hot: $1.88 billion every day. Then operations settled into a sustained burn. Since the April ceasefire, the daily rate has ticked up again. The bars below show what each day cost, by phase.
$29 billion is the Pentagon's disclosed cost for the first 74 days alone. For context, here's what that money funds elsewhere in the federal budget — annually.
156.3 million Americans cast a ballot in the 2024 presidential election — the second-highest turnout in U.S. history. We use this denominator because the vote, more than the tax return, is the lever of democratic consent. Congress hasn't authorized this war (the War Powers Resolution challenges in both chambers have failed seven times in the Senate, four in the House). The math here is the receipt voters got without a vote.
The household card (#05) shows Brown University Climate Solutions Lab's own published per-household figure for gasoline: $187.41 as of May 21, reported by the New York Times. Brown's broader figure including diesel runs higher — over $300 per household — and a separate group (ITEP) estimates ~$297. We show the gasoline-only number because it's the most conservative and the most directly felt; the pump card (#04) shows the per-gallon delta against the $2.98 pre-war baseline.
The hero counter is anchored to the Pentagon's three public disclosures: $11.3B (first 6 days), $25B (Apr 28 testimony), $29B (May 12 testimony). Between disclosures we tick at the back-calculated daily rate: $1.88B/day in the opening strikes, $259M/day during sustained operations, $286M/day in the current phase. The counter continues at the latest disclosed rate until the Pentagon updates again. The administration declared major combat operations concluded on May 5, but the U.S. naval blockade of Iran and the military mobilization in theater remain ongoing — which is why costs keep accruing and the Pentagon keeps disclosing higher totals. We measure from the start of the war (Feb 28), not from any single ceasefire announcement.
Khanna and Bilmes figures are static — we update them only when the underlying source publishes a new estimate. Faking live updates on projections erodes trust. Bilmes' wartime estimates have historically proven low: her 2008 Iraq projection was $3 trillion; the actual figure now exceeds $2T and rising. The $1T Iran figure is her current published estimate, not her ceiling.
Per-voter math is already personal: every American who voted in 2024 carries the same $185 of the Pentagon bill, regardless of state. What varies meaningfully by state is the total bill voters in that state are on the hook for — California's 16M voters carry ~$3.0B; Wyoming's 268K carry ~$50M. State totals = (state 2024 ballots cast) × $185. Vote totals are from state-certified results via the U.S. Election Project.
Congress has voted eleven times to end this war — seven times in the Senate, four times in the House. Every vote has failed, several by a single vote. Below: the two most recent votes, and how your senators stood on the most recent one.